Mia Ristic vs Sofia Costoulas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the past six months, Sofia Costoulas has had a slight edge over Mia Ristic in second serve points won, with 40.62% compared to 38.72%. Does this give her an edge in this matchup? Yes, as strong second serve performance often predicts match outcomes.
• Regarding return games, Costoulas has recently captured 49.43% of second serve points against opponents, slightly outperforming Ristic's 48.68%.
• For first serve return points, Ristic has a clear advantage, winning 37.41%, while Costoulas wins 30.98%. How crucial is this stat? It highly influences the predicted favorite.
• Under pressure, Costoulas is slightly better at saving breakpoints at 49.16% compared to Ristic’s 47.40%.
• In terms of match wins over the past year, Costoulas has a slight edge with a 67.06% win rate compared to Ristic's 64.77%.
• Both players excel on hard courts, with each recording win percentages of 65%.
• Analyzing performance at Challengers/ITF events, Costoulas again leads with a 69.62% win rate versus Ristic's 65.06%.
• Opponent quality analysis shows both players have faced similar levels of competition, with average opponent rankings of 339.59 for Costoulas and 338.43 for Ristic.
• In deciding sets, Costoulas has a higher success rate, winning 70% compared to Ristic's 62%. Could this be decisive in a close match? Yes, it's a pivotal factor.
• Both players are fairly equal in their ability to convert breakpoints, with Ristic slightly leading at 40.10% over Costoulas at 39.82%.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

The data presents an intriguing match-up between Sofia Costoulas and Mia Ristic, as both players have different strengths. Costoulas has slightly better performance in second serve and return games, as well as a higher breakpoint save percentage, which could prove advantageous in crucial moments.

However, Ristic's superior first serve return performance and slightly better breakpoint conversion rate indicate that she exceeds in capitalizing on opponent's weaknesses, which might be a game-changer.

An analysis of match history and performance under pressure slightly favors Costoulas. Although the players are closely matched, her success in deciding sets and a marginally better overall win rate in the past year give her the slight edge.

Therefore, the prediction leans towards Sofia Costoulas as the likely winner of the upcoming match, given her consistent performance in critical areas.